| date | location | type | pred_new_infected_mean | pred_new_infected_per_mil | probability_infected | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2020-10-07 | North Dakota | usstate | 2536.00 | 3327.81 | 4.85 |
| 1 | 2020-10-07 | South Dakota | usstate | 2528.00 | 2857.60 | 4.05 |
| 2 | 2020-10-07 | Arkansas | usstate | 7444.00 | 2466.69 | 3.39 |
| 3 | 2020-10-07 | Missouri | usstate | 14784.00 | 2408.83 | 3.11 |
| 4 | 2020-10-07 | Wisconsin | usstate | 13046.00 | 2240.64 | 2.93 |
| 5 | 2020-10-07 | Miami-Dade County, FL | uscounty | 5353.00 | 1970.23 | 2.84 |
| 6 | 2020-10-07 | Tennessee | usstate | 10984.00 | 1608.39 | 2.38 |
| 7 | 2020-10-07 | Iowa | usstate | 5238.00 | 1660.19 | 2.31 |
| 8 | 2020-10-07 | Montana | usstate | 1791.00 | 1675.75 | 2.12 |
| 9 | 2020-10-07 | Kansas | usstate | 4226.00 | 1450.58 | 2.00 |
| 10 | 2020-10-07 | Oklahoma | usstate | 5726.00 | 1447.07 | 1.93 |
| 11 | 2020-10-07 | Nebraska | usstate | 2807.00 | 1451.09 | 1.88 |
| 12 | 2020-10-07 | Dallas County, TX | uscounty | 3443.00 | 1306.39 | 1.83 |
| 13 | 2020-10-07 | Harris County, TX | uscounty | 6030.00 | 1279.35 | 1.79 |
| 14 | 2020-10-07 | Palm Beach County, FL | uscounty | 1960.00 | 1309.49 | 1.79 |
| 15 | 2020-10-07 | Broward County, FL | uscounty | 2424.00 | 1241.31 | 1.78 |
| 16 | 2020-10-07 | Bexar County, TX | uscounty | 2380.00 | 1187.89 | 1.74 |
| 17 | 2020-10-07 | North Carolina | usstate | 12700.00 | 1210.90 | 1.73 |
| 18 | 2020-10-07 | Tarrant County, TX | uscounty | 2592.00 | 1232.81 | 1.72 |
| 19 | 2020-10-07 | Clark County, NV | uscounty | 2485.00 | 1096.30 | 1.61 |
| 20 | 2020-10-07 | Florida | usstate | 23595.00 | 1098.58 | 1.58 |
| 21 | 2020-10-07 | Idaho | usstate | 1969.00 | 1101.81 | 1.58 |
| 22 | 2020-10-07 | Orange County, FL | uscounty | 1493.00 | 1071.44 | 1.52 |
| 23 | 2020-10-07 | Alabama | usstate | 5163.00 | 1052.99 | 1.51 |
| 24 | 2020-10-07 | South Carolina | usstate | 5241.00 | 1017.92 | 1.50 |
| 25 | 2020-10-07 | Hillsborough County, FL | uscounty | 1590.00 | 1080.19 | 1.50 |
| 26 | 2020-10-07 | Texas | usstate | 28540.00 | 984.28 | 1.47 |
| 27 | 2020-10-07 | Minnesota | usstate | 6312.00 | 1119.22 | 1.46 |
| 28 | 2020-10-07 | Alameda County, CA | uscounty | 1748.00 | 1045.87 | 1.45 |
| 29 | 2020-10-07 | San Bernardino County, CA | uscounty | 2061.00 | 945.38 | 1.42 |
| 30 | 2020-10-07 | Kentucky | usstate | 4507.00 | 1008.80 | 1.41 |
| 31 | 2020-10-07 | Indiana | usstate | 7068.00 | 1049.88 | 1.38 |
| 32 | 2020-10-07 | Alaska | usstate | 805.00 | 1100.41 | 1.35 |
| 33 | 2020-10-07 | Mississippi | usstate | 2518.00 | 846.06 | 1.34 |
| 34 | 2020-10-07 | Sacramento County, CA | uscounty | 1377.00 | 887.21 | 1.31 |
| 35 | 2020-10-07 | Orange County, CA | uscounty | 2698.00 | 849.58 | 1.22 |
| 36 | 2020-10-07 | Washoe County, NV | uscounty | 439.00 | 931.03 | 1.22 |
| 37 | 2020-10-07 | West Virginia | usstate | 1522.00 | 849.26 | 1.19 |
| 38 | 2020-10-07 | Georgia | usstate | 7816.00 | 736.15 | 1.15 |
| 39 | 2020-10-07 | Wyoming | usstate | 516.00 | 891.56 | 1.11 |
| 40 | 2020-10-07 | Louisiana | usstate | 3364.00 | 723.63 | 1.10 |
| 41 | 2020-10-07 | Virginia | usstate | 6574.00 | 770.19 | 1.08 |
| 42 | 2020-10-07 | Nevada | usstate | 2230.00 | 723.99 | 1.07 |
| 43 | 2020-10-07 | Utah | usstate | 2469.00 | 770.13 | 1.05 |
| 44 | 2020-10-07 | Delaware | usstate | 718.00 | 737.34 | 1.03 |
| 45 | 2020-10-07 | Ohio | usstate | 8690.00 | 743.43 | 1.02 |
| 46 | 2020-10-07 | Rhode Island | usstate | 717.00 | 676.82 | 0.99 |
| 47 | 2020-10-07 | Santa Clara County, CA | uscounty | 1398.00 | 725.16 | 0.97 |
| 48 | 2020-10-07 | Maricopa County, AZ | uscounty | 2964.00 | 660.81 | 0.97 |
| 49 | 2020-10-07 | Riverside County, CA | uscounty | 1562.00 | 632.25 | 0.96 |
| 50 | 2020-10-07 | Illinois | usstate | 8664.00 | 683.72 | 0.96 |
| 51 | 2020-10-07 | Hawaii | usstate | 898.00 | 634.24 | 0.93 |
| 52 | 2020-10-07 | Philadelphia County, PA | uscounty | 1093.00 | 690.00 | 0.90 |
| 53 | 2020-10-07 | New Mexico | usstate | 1245.00 | 593.75 | 0.83 |
| 54 | 2020-10-07 | Pennsylvania | usstate | 8164.00 | 637.71 | 0.82 |
| 55 | 2020-10-07 | Cook County, IL | uscounty | 2903.00 | 563.66 | 0.76 |
| 56 | 2020-10-07 | Maryland | usstate | 3175.00 | 525.17 | 0.75 |
| 57 | 2020-10-07 | Suffolk County, MA | uscounty | 456.00 | 567.23 | 0.74 |
| 58 | 2020-10-07 | Washington | usstate | 4054.00 | 532.38 | 0.73 |
| 59 | 2020-10-07 | Middlesex County, MA | uscounty | 892.00 | 553.45 | 0.73 |
| 60 | 2020-10-07 | California | usstate | 18919.00 | 478.81 | 0.72 |
| 61 | 2020-10-07 | Los Angeles County, CA | uscounty | 4600.00 | 458.21 | 0.70 |
| 62 | 2020-10-07 | Arizona | usstate | 3421.00 | 470.00 | 0.69 |
| 63 | 2020-10-07 | Oregon | usstate | 2008.00 | 476.08 | 0.66 |
| 64 | 2020-10-07 | District of Columbia | usstate | 339.00 | 480.34 | 0.65 |
| 65 | 2020-10-07 | Massachusetts | usstate | 3255.00 | 472.25 | 0.64 |
| 66 | 2020-10-07 | San Diego County, CA | uscounty | 1454.00 | 435.55 | 0.63 |
| 67 | 2020-10-07 | Wayne County, MI | uscounty | 712.00 | 407.01 | 0.54 |
| 68 | 2020-10-07 | Michigan | usstate | 3877.00 | 388.21 | 0.54 |
| 69 | 2020-10-07 | Colorado | usstate | 2307.00 | 400.61 | 0.53 |
| 70 | 2020-10-07 | Hudson County, NJ | uscounty | 266.00 | 395.60 | 0.49 |
| 71 | 2020-10-07 | New York City County, NY | uscounty | 2971.00 | 339.69 | 0.42 |
| 72 | 2020-10-07 | Connecticut | usstate | 1147.00 | 321.71 | 0.40 |
| 73 | 2020-10-07 | New York | usstate | 5913.00 | 303.95 | 0.39 |
| 74 | 2020-10-07 | Essex County, NJ | uscounty | 235.00 | 294.13 | 0.37 |
| 75 | 2020-10-07 | New Jersey | usstate | 2508.00 | 282.36 | 0.36 |
| 76 | 2020-10-07 | King County, WA | uscounty | 620.00 | 275.22 | 0.35 |
| 77 | 2020-10-07 | Suffolk County, NY | uscounty | 377.00 | 255.32 | 0.32 |
| 78 | 2020-10-07 | Bergen County, NJ | uscounty | 230.00 | 246.73 | 0.32 |
| 79 | 2020-10-07 | Westchester County, NY | uscounty | 237.00 | 244.96 | 0.31 |
| 80 | 2020-10-07 | Nassau County, NY | uscounty | 229.00 | 168.76 | 0.21 |
| 81 | 2020-10-07 | Maine | usstate | 218.00 | 162.18 | 0.20 |
| 82 | 2020-10-07 | New Hampshire | usstate | 199.00 | 146.35 | 0.18 |
| 83 | 2020-10-07 | Vermont | usstate | 17.00 | 27.24 | 0.04 |